Catastrophe losses ~48% above average by end of November: Jefferies

Catastrophe losses ~48% above average by end of November: Jefferies

After November 2021, full-year disaster and extreme weather losses were approximated to be running around 48% ahead of the long-term 2008 to 2020 average, according to experts at financial investment bank Jefferies.However, November actually saw disaster losses running second-rate for the insurance coverage and reinsurance market, slowing the speed from being roughly 50% above average at end of October.
The United States saw an especially quiet month, by contrast, with the overall insured loss during November 2021 being lower relative to other areas, Jefferies experts estimate.
The flooding in Canada was the biggest insurance and reinsurance market loss event, which Jefferies approximates at around $400 million.
While European windstorm Arwen was another major occasion in the month of November, which is approximated to be around a $300 million market loss.

The size of individual loss occasions aside, Jefferies team note that the above-average run-rate for catastrophe and weather losses in 2021, is yet again putting pressure on the insurance coverage and reinsurance market.
” Above-average insured losses are putting pressure on the adequacy of lots of underwriters natural catastrophe loss spending plans. This was further evidenced during the just recently reported 3Q 2021 results, and it is therefore ending up being increasingly most likely that budgets will be surpassed,” the experts discussed.
Including that, “Consequently, we anticipate this to drive product rate increases for property-catastrophe contracts at the upcoming 1st January 2022 reinsurance renewals.”
Disaster losses are running 34% ahead of the 10-year average at the end of November, Jefferies note, however the rate is most likely to accelerate once Decembers figures remain in.
The experts described, “Looking ahead to December, we anticipate losses from the current twister break outs in the US to feature plainly in the information. We likewise expect insured losses from the Tropical Storm Rai, although these will likely be less material than the US twister break outs due to the big protection space in Asia.”

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